Free SOA Exam P (Probability) Joint & Marginal Distributions Practice Questions

Tackle joint and marginal distributions — one of the most heavily tested areas on Exam P. Questions involve multivariate densities, marginal and conditional distributions, covariance, and independence.

333 Questions
166 Easy
106 Medium
61 Hard
2026 Syllabus

Sample Questions

Question 1 Easy
Cov(X, 3X + 5) = ? given Var(X) = 4.
Solution
Cov(X,3X+5)\text{Cov}(X, 3X+5) = 3Var(X)\cdot \text{Var}(X) + 0 = 3(4) = 12.
Question 2 Medium
X, Y iid Uniform(0,1). Calculate P(X + Y < 1).
Solution
P(X+Y<1)P(X+Y < 1) = area of triangle below x+y=1 in unit square = (1)2\frac{(1)}{2}.
Question 3 Hard
Let XN(0,1)X \sim N(0,1) and Y=X2Y = X^2. Find Cov(X,Y)\text{Cov}(X, Y).
Solution
Cov(X,Y)=E[XY]E[X]E[Y]=E[X3]E[X]E[X2]\text{Cov}(X, Y) = E[XY] - E[X] \cdot E[Y] = E[X^3] - E[X] \cdot E[X^2]

For XN(0,1)X \sim N(0,1), all odd moments are zero by symmetry: E[X]=0E[X] = 0, E[X3]=0E[X^3] = 0. Also E[X2]=1E[X^2] = 1.

Cov(X,X2)=001=0\text{Cov}(X, X^2) = 0 - 0 \cdot 1 = 0

Cov(X,Y)=0\text{Cov}(X, Y) = 0 does NOT imply independence. Here Y=X2Y = X^2 is a deterministic function of XX, so XX and YY are completely dependent despite being uncorrelated. covariance only captures linear relationships, and the relationship Y=X2Y = X^2 is purely nonlinear.

Distractor analysis:
- (A) 11: assumes E[X3]=E[X2]=1E[X^3] = E[X^2] = 1 or uses Cov(X,X2)=Var(X)\text{Cov}(X, X^2) = \text{Var}(X).
- (B) 22: computes Var(X2)=E[X4](E[X2])2=31=2\text{Var}(X^2) = E[X^4] - (E[X^2])^2 = 3 - 1 = 2 and confuses it with covariance.
- (D) 1-1: assumes a negative linear association since XX can be negative while X2X^2 is positive.
- (E) 12\frac{1}{2}: applies a nonexistent formula Cov(X,X2)=12E[X2]\text{Cov}(X, X^2) = \frac{1}{2}E[X^2].

The answer is 00.
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