Exam 5 · Premium, Loss & Trend Adjustments · Free Lesson

Prepare the loss and LAE inputs to a rate indication, applying standard ratios and loss adjustments and distinguishing claims-made from occurrence coverage.

Free CAS Exam 5 (Basic Ratemaking and Reserving) lesson in Premium, Loss & Trend Adjustments. 24 min read, ~3,659 words.

Two malpractice policies cover the same surgeon for the same year. One pays for injuries that happen this year; the other pays for claims reported this year. Same doctor, different coverage trigger, different price.

Losses are the dollars paid to or for insureds. Loss adjustment expense (LAE) is the cost of investigating and settling those claims. LAE has two flavors.

ALAE is allocated loss adjustment expense: cost you can assign to one specific claim file. Defense attorneys, expert witnesses, and independent adjusters on a named claim are ALAE. The word "allocated" is the memory hook: you can allocate it to a claim.

ULAE is unallocated loss adjustment expense: general claims-department overhead that no single claim owns. Salaried in-house adjusters, claim-office rent, and claims software are ULAE.

Ratemaking leans on four ratios, and each one is defined by a choice of relevant statistics, an aggregation method, an accounting period, and a valuation date. Take a book with 10,000 exposures, 1,500 reported claims, $4,500,000 of losses, and $6,000,000 of premium.

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Exam shortcut

Build the loss input as one chain of develop, smooth, and trend, but do not treat that order as a law. Sequence each step to match how its provision was derived, cap shock losses on trended losses, and add a future-level catastrophe provision after trending and developing. When you see "ULAE ratio" or "LAE factor," multiply it against ultimate losses (plus ALAE) and add the product.

The full lesson (about 3,659 words, 24 min read) adds 4 worked examples, all 7 common mistakes, a self-check, free in the app.

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