Select and apply a tail factor to carry development beyond the edge of the observed triangle.

Free CAS Exam 5 (Basic Ratemaking and Reserving) lesson in Estimating Claim Liabilities. 12 min read, ~1,804 words.

A tail factor extends development beyond the oldest observed age to ultimate, capturing payments or emergence the triangle cannot show. The tail is a cumulative development factor from the last observed age to ultimate; it multiplies onto the age-to-age product, never replaces it. Long-tail lines (WC, general liability, med mal)...

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