MAS-I · Probability Models · Free Lesson

Perform joint life calculations.

Free CAS MAS-I (Modern Actuarial Statistics I) lesson in Probability Models. 17 min read, ~2,598 words.

A couple buys a survivor annuity that pays as long as at least one spouse is alive. Pricing it requires moving from a single future-lifetime random variable to a pair, and then to the statuses built on top of that pair.

Two statuses on the same pair. Given lives aged xx and yy with future-lifetime variables TxT_x and TyT_y, define the joint-life status (xy)(xy) that survives only while both are alive and the last-survivor status xy‾\overline{xy} that survives while at least one is alive. The lifetime of the status is the time until it fails.

Txy=min⁡(Tx,Ty)T_{xy} = \min(T_x, T_y) and Txy‾=max⁡(Tx,Ty)T_{\overline{xy}} = \max(T_x, T_y).

KEY: The status is the bookkeeping unit. Once you know which status a contract is written on, every formula you already know for a single life (insurances, annuities, expected lifetime) applies with the subscript changed.

Survival and failure probabilities. Probability the joint-life status survives tt years equals the probability both lives survive:

tpxy=P(Tx>t, Ty>t){}_tp_{xy} = P(T_x>t,\,T_y>t).

Probability the last-survivor status survives tt years equals the probability at least one is alive:

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Exam shortcut

If a problem gives constant forces and constant interest, immediately use aˉxy=1/(μx+μy+δ)\bar a_{xy} = 1/(\mu_x+\mu_y+\delta) and Aˉxy=(μx+μy)/(μx+μy+δ)\bar A_{xy} = (\mu_x+\mu_y)/(\mu_x+\mu_y+\delta); under common shock, replace the sum with μx∗+μy∗+λ\mu_x^*+\mu_y^*+\lambda. Whenever three of the four quantities in {Ax,Ay,Axy,Axy‾}\{A_x, A_y, A_{xy}, A_{\overline{xy}}\} are given, jump straight to the identity instead of recomputing from scratch. For reversionary annuities, write the answer as a difference of two ordinary life-annuity EPVs before reaching for any integral.

The full lesson (about 2,598 words, 17 min read) adds 8 worked examples, all 6 common mistakes, a self-check, free in the app.

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