MAS-I · Probability Models · Free Lesson

Calculate simple whole life or annuity problems.

Free CAS MAS-I (Modern Actuarial Statistics I) lesson in Probability Models. 19 min read, ~2,841 words.

A whole life policy promises $1 at the moment (or year-end) of death, whenever that arrives. A whole life annuity pays $1 per period while the annuitant lives. Pricing either reduces to one move: take expectation of a discounted contingent cash flow.

Setup. Let TxT_x be the future lifetime of a life age xx and Kx=⌊Tx⌋K_x = \lfloor T_x\rfloor the curtate (integer-years) lifetime. Survival is tpx=P(Tx>t){}_t p_x = P(T_x > t); deferred mortality is k∣qx=kpx⋅qx+k{}_{k|}q_x = {}_k p_x \cdot q_{x+k}. Interest enters through v=1/(1+i)v = 1/(1+i) discretely and vt=e−δtv^t = e^{-\delta t} continuously, where δ=ln⁡(1+i)\delta = \ln(1+i).

KEY: Every whole life EPV is the expectation of a single discounted indicator stream. Insurance discounts at the time of death. Annuities sum discount factors over survival times.

Whole life insurance, discrete. Pay $1 at the end of the year of death. The death year is Kx+1K_x+1.

Ax=∑k=0∞vk+1 k∣qx=∑k=0∞vk+1 kpx qx+kA_x = \sum_{k=0}^{\infty} v^{k+1}\,{}_{k|}q_x = \sum_{k=0}^{\infty} v^{k+1}\,{}_k p_x\,q_{x+k}

Whole life insurance, continuous. Pay $1 at the instant of death.

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Exam shortcut

When the problem hands you both a¨x\ddot a_x and an interest rate, compute Ax=1−d a¨xA_x = 1 - d\,\ddot a_x in one line rather than re-summing the insurance series. For any constant-force question, write Aˉx=μ/(μ+δ)\bar A_x = \mu/(\mu+\delta) and aˉx=1/(μ+δ)\bar a_x = 1/(\mu+\delta) immediately; the benefit premium per unit is just μ\mu. When asked for variance of a level-benefit whole life, evaluate the same EPV at force 2δ2\delta, subtract the square of Aˉx\bar A_x, and multiply by the face squared.

The full lesson (about 2,841 words, 19 min read) adds 8 worked examples, all 6 common mistakes, a self-check, free in the app.

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