Valuing a Derivative Using a One-Period Binomial Model

Free CFA Level I lesson in Derivatives. 11 min read, ~1,696 words.

Risk-neutral probability π = (1 + r − d) / (u − d). This is NOT a real probability, it is a pricing weight. Derivative value today = π-weighted expected payoff, discounted at the risk-free rate r. The actual probability of an up move is irrelevant. Investor risk preferences cancel...

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