Currency Exchange Rate Determination

Free CFA Level II lesson in Economics. 14 min read, ~2,076 words.

CIP is no-arbitrage: Forward = Spot x (1 + r_price) / (1 + r_base), holding continuously in liquid markets, with the price currency's rate in the numerator. UIP is systematically violated; carry trades exploit this forward premium puzzle, earning the interest differential when high-yield currencies depreciate less than predicted. Carry...

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