Five transformations let you build the entire severity zoo from a handful of base distributions. Inflation factors, Weibull severity fits, and lognormal claim sizes all fall out of these five moves.
Multiplication by a constant. Stretching the x-axis by stretches the CDF horizontally and squashes the pdf vertically by the same factor so total mass stays 1. If with , then and . When is a scale parameter, the family is preserved and . All shape parameters lock. Moments scale by , and CV and skewness do not move.
KEY: Inflation at rate is multiplication by . Replace with and re-evaluate the mean formula. Shape parameters are frozen.
Raising to a power. Define . For this is the "transformed" version; for it is the "inverse" version.
Common mistakes
- Treating as scaling. It is not; CV changes and shape parameters move.
- Forgetting the Jacobian. Missing the factor gives a non-density.
- Variance of a mixture using weighted variance. The correct route is , not .
Bottom line
- Multiplication : same family, only scale moves and ; shape parameters stay fixed. Inflation tool.
- Power : exponential to Weibull (τ > 0); gives the inverse family (Pareto to inverse Pareto).
- Exponentiation : normal to lognormal with the same parameters.
- Mixing: weight pdfs by a mixing distribution, ; gamma-mixed exponential = Pareto. Moments mix by the weights, but variance does not.
Exam shortcut
For a power transform, write , invert to , and apply change-of-variables once. For a discrete mixture, compute each from the standard tables, then dot-product with . For a two-piece splice with weights , the scaling on piece is . Apply once, integrate to check. For "solve for the mixing weight" problems, plug into ; avoid setting up the full pdf integral.
The full lesson (about 4,068 words, 27 min read) adds 5 worked examples, all 11 common mistakes, a self-check, free in the app.
Learning objectives
- 1b
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