Exam ASTAM · Severity Models · Free Lesson

Create new distributions by multiplication by a constant, raising to a power, exponentiation, mixing and splicing.

Free SOA Exam ASTAM (Advanced Short-Term Actuarial Mathematics) lesson in Severity Models. 27 min read, ~4,068 words.

Five transformations let you build the entire severity zoo from a handful of base distributions. Inflation factors, Weibull severity fits, and lognormal claim sizes all fall out of these five moves.

Multiplication by a constant. Stretching the x-axis by stretches the CDF horizontally and squashes the pdf vertically by the same factor so total mass stays 1. If with , then and . When is a scale parameter, the family is preserved and . All shape parameters lock. Moments scale by , and CV and skewness do not move.

KEY: Inflation at rate is multiplication by . Replace with and re-evaluate the mean formula. Shape parameters are frozen.

Raising to a power. Define . For this is the "transformed" version; for it is the "inverse" version.

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For a power transform, write , invert to , and apply change-of-variables once. For a discrete mixture, compute each from the standard tables, then dot-product with . For a two-piece splice with weights , the scaling on piece is . Apply once, integrate to check. For "solve for the mixing weight" problems, plug into ; avoid setting up the full pdf integral.

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