Problem Preview: A life table gives . You need the probability a 70-year-old survives exactly 4.5 months. Under UDD, . Under constant force, . Under Balducci, . Three assumptions, three different answers.
HIGH-FREQUENCY: UDD is the most commonly tested assumption. Know all three formulas and the force of mortality under each.
For :
Force of mortality: , increases within the year.
KEY: Under UDD, for only. This formula does NOT extend beyond one year, writing can exceed 1.
NOTE: When computing , use from the start of the integer-age interval. If you need , use , not .
Common mistakes
- Applying UDD beyond one year. holds only for . Writing can exceed 1. For multi-year fractions, chain integer-year probabilities with fractional adjustments.
- Using when is within the year from 80 to 81. The fractional position is measured from the start of the integer-age interval. If you need , use , not .
- Confusing Balducci with UDD. UDD: from the start. Balducci: from a point to the end. Trap: applying UDD when Balducci is specified.
Bottom line
- UDD: , . Force increases within each year.
- Constant force: . Force is flat within each year at .
- Balducci: . Force decreases within each year.
- All three assumptions agree at integer ages ( and ).
Exam shortcut
Most FAM questions use UDD, it is the default unless stated otherwise. When you see "uniform distribution of deaths," immediately write . A useful check: all three assumptions agree at (giving 0) and (giving ). If your answer violates this, you used the wrong formula. "UDD = times t." "Constant force = power rule: ." "Balducci = backward UDD." Force ordering at : "BaCoU".
The full lesson (about 2,295 words, 15 min read) adds 4 worked examples, all 5 common mistakes, a self-check, free in the app.
Learning objectives
- 8d
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