Free SOA Exam FAM (Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics) Parametric Estimation Practice Questions
Parametric estimation on SOA Exam FAM covers maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), method of moments, and goodness-of-fit testing for insurance loss distributions. These techniques are foundational to actuarial modeling.
48 questions24 easy19 medium5 hard2026 syllabus
Sample Questions
Question 1
Easy
Which of the following is a property of maximum likelihood estimators for large samples?
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Correct Answer: D
Solution
D is correct.
Key asymptotic properties of MLEs:
1. **Consistency**: θ^MLEpθ as n→∞.
2. **Asymptotic normality**: n(θ^−θ)dN(0,1/I(θ)) where I(θ) is the Fisher information.
3. **Asymptotic efficiency**: The MLE achieves the Cramér-Rao lower bound asymptotically, meaning it has the smallest asymptotic variance among consistent estimators.
4. **Invariance**: If θ^ is the MLE of θ, then g(θ^) is the MLE of g(θ).
Important caveats: For example, the MLE of σ2 in the normal model divides by n, not n-1.
Question 2
Medium
A sample of 10 losses from an exponential distribution has 8 exact observations summing to 2,400 and 2 right-censored observations at 500 each. Calculate the MLE of θ.
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Correct Answer: D
Solution
D is correct.
For right-censored exponential data, the MLE of θ is: θ^=number uncensoredtotal exposure=82,400+2(500)=83,400=425 Total exposure includes both exact observations and censored exposure times.
Question 3
Hard
Loss amounts follow a Pareto distribution with pdf f(x)=(x+θ)α+1αθα for x>0. Both α and θ are unknown. A sample of 3 observations is: 100, 400, 500. Write the system of equations that the MLEs must satisfy.
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Correct Answer: E
Solution
E is correct.
The log-likelihood is: ℓ(α,θ)=nlnα+nαlnθ−(α+1)∑ln(xi+θ). Taking partial derivatives: ∂α∂ℓ=αn+nlnθ−∑ln(xi+θ)=0. ∂θ∂ℓ=θnα−(α+1)∑xi+θ1=0. With n=3 and the given data: Equation 1: α3+3lnθ−[ln(100+θ)+ln(400+θ)+ln(500+θ)]=0. Equation 2: θ3α−(α+1)[100+θ1+400+θ1+500+θ1]=0. This system must be solved simultaneously using numerical methods (e.g., Newton-Raphson). From Equation 1, we can express α as a function of θ and substitute into Equation 2. From Equation 1: α=∑ln(xi+θ)−3lnθ3 (profile likelihood approach).
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