A retiree wants income that keeps pace with inflation. Pricing a payment that grows 3% a year for 20 years uses a different engine than a level annuity, and confusing the two misvalues the plan by six figures.
There are two ways a payment grows. Arithmetic adds a fixed amount each period (100, 150, 200, and so on). Geometric multiplies by a fixed factor (100, 103, 106.09 at 3%). Inflation-linked income is geometric; a fixed dollar step-up is arithmetic. The formulas differ, so the first decision on any varying-annuity problem is which one you have.
The building blocks are the unit increasing and decreasing annuities, payments and :
They satisfy , a quick check on your two factors.
For a general arithmetic stream , split it into a level annuity of plus copies of the unit increasing annuity:
Common mistakes
- Using instead of in the decomposition. Payments 1,000, 1,200,... with , : the level piece is , not . Using 1,000 overcounts by . Trap: $11,950 instead of $10,657.
- Using instead of in . The numerator is , not . At , : correct , wrong . Trap: 20.97.
- Confusing arithmetic and geometric growth. "Increasing by $200" is arithmetic; "increasing by 3%" is geometric. Applying the wrong formula gives a completely different present value.
Bottom line
- Arithmetic : . The level coefficient is , not .
- , , and they sum to .
- Accumulated value: multiply the PV by , or use .
- Increasing perpetuity: , due . General stream : .
Exam shortcut
First decision: arithmetic (adds ) or geometric (multiplies by )? Arithmetic uses the level-plus-ramp decomposition; geometric uses the direct ratio formula. Write the type before you write any factor. "Level plus ramp" for arithmetic: level plus copies of . "Ratio to the n, over the gap" for geometric: numerator minus the ratio raised to , denominator .
The full lesson (about 3,505 words, 23 min read) adds 5 worked examples, all 8 common mistakes, a self-check, free in the app.
Learning objectives
- 2a
- 2b
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