Pick 6 from 49 in a lottery. Count arrangements instead of subsets and you get a number 720 times too large, because orderings map to the same ticket.
If a procedure has sequential stages with choices respectively, the total number of outcomes is:
This applies whenever choices at each stage are independent of earlier choices.
A permutation is an ordered arrangement. Choose objects from distinct objects:
Special case: arrange all objects, that gives .
When objects include groups of identical items ( of type 1, of type 2,..., of type ) the distinct arrangements form the multinomial coefficient:
MISSISSIPPI has 11 letters: 1 M, 4 I's, 4 S's, 2 P's. Distinct arrangements: .
Common mistakes
- Using permutations when combinations are needed. Choosing 3 engineers from 7 with overcounts by . Trap: 210 instead of 35.
- Forgetting to divide by repeated elements. Arrangements of MISSISSIPPI as instead of . Trap: 39,916,800.
- Missing cases in "at least" problems. Computing only "exactly 1 green" and forgetting "exactly 2 green." Trap: 120 instead of 150.
Bottom line
- Fundamental counting principle: multiply the number of choices at each stage; it underlies every permutation and combination formula.
- Permutations (order matters): . Combinations (order doesn't): ; they differ by a factor of .
- Key question: does rearranging the selected objects create a different outcome? Yes is a permutation, no is a combination.
- Multinomial coefficient: arranges objects with repeated identical copies (MISSISSIPPI gives 34,650).
Exam shortcut
When stuck, translate the problem into a physical process: "I am pulling 4 balls, do I care about the order I pull them?" This forces the permutation vs. combination decision before you write a formula. "Combinations are permutations with the ordering divided out." . If you accidentally compute a permutation, dividing by recovers the combination.
The full lesson (about 2,618 words, 17 min read) adds 3 worked examples, all 7 common mistakes, a self-check, free in the app.
Learning objectives
- 1b
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