Exam PA · Predictive Analytics Problem Definition · Free Lesson

Assess whether descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive analytics applies to a business problem.

Free SOA Exam PA (Predictive Analytics) lesson in Predictive Analytics Problem Definition. 8 min read, ~1,187 words.

A fire department asks three questions: what drove last year's costs, which incidents will be costly next year, and where to station a new engine. Each question points to a different analytics type, and naming the right one earns the point.

The three perspectives. Think of them as a timeline plus a decision. Descriptive looks backward. Predictive looks forward. Prescriptive acts.

KEY: The clean separator is the verb. "Summarize" or "describe" is descriptive. "Predict" or "forecast" is predictive. "Maximize," "recommend," or "decide" is prescriptive.

The perspectives build on each other. Prescriptive analytics usually consumes a predictive model's forecast, then searches decision options to optimize an objective. Predictive often rests on descriptive summaries that reveal candidate predictors.

FROM THE EXAM: "State whether descriptive, predictive, or prescriptive analytics applies to this business problem. Explain your decision." Source: SOA Exam PA, April 2025, Task 1(c). Copyright Society of Actuaries.

The prompt above followed a scenario about "understanding the past drivers of high costs." Past drivers means descriptive.

Read the full lesson, free →
Worked examples and practice. Free with a free account, no card.

Common mistakes

Bottom line

Exam shortcut

Read the verb: "summarize/describe" is descriptive, "forecast/predict" is predictive, "recommend/maximize/choose" is prescriptive. When asked which type applies, write the single word first, then one sentence of justification tied to the scenario. For any prescriptive value problem, immediately check that a price or cost variable is present or listed as needed data; its absence is the graders' favorite trap.

The full lesson (about 1,187 words, 8 min read) adds 2 worked examples, all 6 common mistakes, a self-check, free in the app.

Learning objectives

Browse all free Exam PA lessons or jump into free Exam PA practice questions.