Exam PA · Data Exploration and Visualization · Free Lesson

Identify the types of variables and terminology used in predictive modeling.

Free SOA Exam PA (Predictive Analytics) lesson in Data Exploration and Visualization. 11 min read, ~1,681 words.

A telematics dataset arrives with a driver's age, home state, a policy ID string, and a claim-count column. Before you fit anything, you must name each variable's type. Get the naming wrong and every downstream choice (chart, transform, model) inherits the error.

Target versus predictor. Every supervised problem splits variables into two roles. The target variable (also called the response, dependent, or outcome variable) is what you want to predict. The predictor variables (also called features, inputs, covariates, or independent variables) are what you use to predict it. In a claim model, claim cost is the target; driver age, vehicle type, and territory are predictors.

KEY: The role is defined by the business question, not by the data type. The same column can be a target in one model and a predictor in another. If you are predicting it, it is the target.

Types of values. A variable's value type decides which charts and transforms are legal.

Continuous variables can, in principle, take infinitely many values between any two points. Premium of $1,204.37 and loss of $8,150.00 are continuous.

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Common mistakes

Bottom line

Exam shortcut

Decide role first, then value type, then ordering: ask "am I predicting it?" (target vs predictor), "does it measure or label?" (numeric vs categorical), and "do the levels rank?" (ordinal vs nominal). Whenever a column is numeric, sanity-check whether it measures a quantity or just codes a category; codes like ZIP and ID are factors no matter how they are stored.

The full lesson (about 1,681 words, 11 min read) adds 2 worked examples, all 6 common mistakes, a self-check, free in the app.

Learning objectives

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